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xG Nations League 2026/27
Expected goals (xG) for and against every team in 78 matches, calculated with the Balonario xG model from every shot (zone, body part, situation and pass type). Updated Sunday 4 October 2026.
Most xG created per game: Netherlands (2.22). Least xG conceded per game: Switzerland (0.33).
xG table by team
| # | Team | P | xG | xGA | Diff. | Goals | xG/p | xGA/p |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Albania | 3 | 6.4 | 1.8 | +4.6 | 6:2 | 2.13 | 0.59 |
| 2 | Montenegro | 3 | 6.6 | 2.3 | +4.3 | 7:4 | 2.21 | 0.76 |
| 3 | Hungary | 3 | 6.0 | 1.8 | +4.2 | 1:1 | 2.01 | 0.60 |
| 4 | Iceland | 3 | 6.0 | 1.8 | +4.2 | 7:1 | 1.98 | 0.58 |
| 5 | Switzerland | 3 | 4.7 | 1.0 | +3.7 | 8:1 | 1.57 | 0.33 |
| 6 | Spain | 3 | 5.3 | 1.7 | +3.5 | 10:4 | 1.76 | 0.58 |
| 7 | Netherlands | 3 | 6.7 | 3.7 | +2.9 | 5:4 | 2.22 | 1.24 |
| 8 | Finland | 3 | 5.0 | 2.2 | +2.8 | 9:1 | 1.66 | 0.72 |
| 9 | Germany | 3 | 6.2 | 3.5 | +2.7 | 3:2 | 2.06 | 1.16 |
| 10 | Kosovo | 3 | 4.8 | 2.3 | +2.6 | 2:3 | 1.61 | 0.76 |
| 11 | Malta | 2 | 3.2 | 1.6 | +1.7 | 3:2 | 1.61 | 0.78 |
| 12 | Azerbaijan | 2 | 3.3 | 1.6 | +1.7 | 1:1 | 1.63 | 0.80 |
| 13 | Lithuania | 2 | 2.7 | 1.1 | +1.6 | 3:1 | 1.36 | 0.54 |
| 14 | Slovakia | 3 | 4.3 | 1.9 | +2.5 | 5:2 | 1.45 | 0.63 |
| 15 | England | 3 | 5.6 | 3.2 | +2.4 | 11:3 | 1.87 | 1.05 |
| 16 | Poland | 3 | 5.1 | 2.7 | +2.4 | 7:3 | 1.70 | 0.89 |
| 17 | Norway | 3 | 5.5 | 3.2 | +2.3 | 5:6 | 1.84 | 1.08 |
| 18 | Scotland | 3 | 5.2 | 2.9 | +2.3 | 2:3 | 1.72 | 0.96 |
| 19 | Austria | 3 | 5.3 | 3.7 | +1.6 | 8:4 | 1.77 | 1.23 |
| 20 | Faroe Islands | 3 | 4.2 | 2.6 | +1.6 | 3:3 | 1.40 | 0.86 |
| 21 | Sweden | 3 | 3.2 | 2.0 | +1.2 | 6:3 | 1.07 | 0.67 |
| 22 | Italy | 3 | 5.0 | 4.0 | +1.1 | 5:4 | 1.68 | 1.33 |
| 23 | France | 3 | 3.5 | 3.1 | +0.4 | 3:1 | 1.17 | 1.04 |
| 24 | Portugal | 3 | 5.3 | 5.2 | +0.1 | 7:3 | 1.78 | 1.74 |
| 25 | Andorra | 2 | 1.8 | 1.8 | -0.0 | 1:2 | 0.89 | 0.91 |
| 26 | Denmark | 3 | 4.1 | 4.2 | -0.2 | 6:7 | 1.35 | 1.40 |
| 27 | Slovenia | 3 | 3.0 | 3.2 | -0.2 | 3:2 | 1.00 | 1.06 |
| 28 | Bosnia and Herzegovina | 3 | 2.2 | 2.6 | -0.3 | 5:3 | 0.74 | 0.86 |
| 29 | Bulgaria | 3 | 3.1 | 3.5 | -0.4 | 1:5 | 1.04 | 1.16 |
| 30 | Armenia | 3 | 3.2 | 3.6 | -0.4 | 4:5 | 1.07 | 1.20 |
| 31 | Greece | 3 | 3.6 | 4.0 | -0.4 | 5:3 | 1.19 | 1.33 |
| 32 | Northern Ireland | 3 | 2.6 | 3.1 | -0.5 | 4:0 | 0.87 | 1.05 |
| 33 | Belgium | 3 | 4.4 | 5.0 | -0.6 | 5:1 | 1.46 | 1.66 |
| 34 | Türkiye | 3 | 3.3 | 4.2 | -0.9 | 1:8 | 1.10 | 1.39 |
| 35 | Georgia | 3 | 2.3 | 3.3 | -1.0 | 0:2 | 0.76 | 1.10 |
| 36 | Republic of Ireland | 3 | 2.8 | 4.0 | -1.2 | 5:3 | 0.93 | 1.32 |
| 37 | Estonia | 3 | 2.1 | 3.4 | -1.3 | 2:1 | 0.70 | 1.12 |
| 38 | Belarus | 3 | 2.5 | 3.8 | -1.3 | 4:2 | 0.85 | 1.28 |
| 39 | Moldova | 3 | 3.4 | 4.8 | -1.4 | 3:4 | 1.13 | 1.61 |
| 40 | Cyprus | 3 | 3.1 | 5.0 | -1.8 | 3:2 | 1.05 | 1.66 |
| 41 | Latvia | 3 | 1.7 | 3.8 | -2.1 | 1:4 | 0.57 | 1.27 |
| 42 | Wales | 3 | 3.1 | 5.3 | -2.2 | 2:4 | 1.03 | 1.77 |
| 43 | Gibraltar | 2 | 0.8 | 2.5 | -1.6 | 1:1 | 0.42 | 1.23 |
| 44 | Luxembourg | 3 | 1.9 | 4.5 | -2.6 | 2:5 | 0.64 | 1.50 |
| 45 | Kazakhstan | 3 | 1.8 | 4.5 | -2.6 | 3:5 | 0.60 | 1.48 |
| 46 | Ukraine | 3 | 1.7 | 4.4 | -2.7 | 1:3 | 0.58 | 1.47 |
| 47 | Czechia | 3 | 1.9 | 4.8 | -2.9 | 2:7 | 0.64 | 1.60 |
| 48 | Israel | 3 | 1.9 | 4.9 | -3.0 | 1:6 | 0.63 | 1.63 |
| 49 | Croatia | 3 | 2.6 | 5.7 | -3.1 | 3:12 | 0.86 | 1.91 |
| 50 | Romania | 3 | 2.3 | 5.5 | -3.3 | 3:12 | 0.76 | 1.85 |
| 51 | Liechtenstein | 2 | 0.4 | 3.7 | -3.3 | 0:2 | 0.21 | 1.86 |
| 52 | Serbia | 3 | 2.3 | 7.5 | -5.2 | 2:6 | 0.76 | 2.51 |
| 53 | North Macedonia | 3 | 1.3 | 7.2 | -5.8 | 0:7 | 0.45 | 2.38 |
| 54 | San Marino | 3 | 1.6 | 7.8 | -6.1 | 0:14 | 0.55 | 2.59 |
xG: expected goals for · xGA: expected goals against · sorted by xG difference per game.
Top players by xG
| Player | Team | Shots | xG | npxG | xA | Chances created |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orri Óskarsson | Iceland | 12 | 2.87 | 2.87 | 0.87 | 4 |
| Nikola Krstovic | Montenegro | 15 | 2.65 | 1.69 | 0.48 | 3 |
| Erling Haaland | Norway | 15 | 2.57 | 2.57 | 0.16 | 1 |
| Joel Pohjanpalo | Finland | 10 | 2.43 | 1.46 | 0.35 | 4 |
| Mexx Meerdink | Netherlands | 10 | 2.34 | 1.37 | 0.35 | 5 |
| Robert Lewandowski | Poland | 7 | 2.05 | 1.09 | 0.32 | 2 |
| Zeki Amdouni | Switzerland | 16 | 1.57 | 1.57 | 0.27 | 6 |
| Mahir Emreli | Azerbaijan | 10 | 1.56 | 1.56 | 0.69 | 7 |
| Rasmus Højlund | Denmark | 7 | 1.54 | 1.54 | 0.28 | 4 |
| Rey Manaj | Albania | 8 | 1.44 | 1.44 | 0.72 | 2 |
| John McGinn | Scotland | 6 | 1.40 | 0.44 | 0.68 | 4 |
| Edon Zhegrova | Kosovo | 7 | 1.39 | 0.42 | 0.17 | 3 |
| Troy Parrott | Republic of Ireland | 5 | 1.38 | 0.41 | 0.03 | 1 |
| Kieron Bowie | Scotland | 10 | 1.32 | 1.32 | 0.19 | 2 |
| Armandas Kucys | Lithuania | 4 | 1.31 | 0.35 | 0.19 | 2 |
| Bukayo Saka | England | 10 | 1.26 | 1.26 | 0.27 | 3 |
| Romano Schmid | Austria | 5 | 1.24 | 0.28 | 0.76 | 8 |
| Petru Popescu | Moldova | 12 | 1.23 | 1.23 | 0.37 | 4 |
| Milutin Osmajic | Montenegro | 6 | 1.19 | 1.19 | 1.14 | 8 |
| Dan Ndoye | Switzerland | 13 | 1.18 | 1.18 | 0.70 | 7 |
npxG: non-penalty xG · xA: expected assists (xG of the shots created by their passes).