xG Carabao Cup 2026/27

Name: xG Carabao Cup 2026/27
Creator: Balonario

Expected goals (xG) for and against every team in 76 matches, calculated with the Balonario xG model from every shot (zone, body part, situation and pass type). Updated Sunday 4 October 2026.

Most xG created per game: Wigan Athletic (6.34). Least xG conceded per game: Manchester City (0.15).

xG table by team

#	Team	P	xG	xGA	Diff.	Goals	xG/p	xGA/p
1	Bournemouth	1	2.7	0.3	+2.4	4:0	2.73	0.31
2	Bristol City	1	3.4	1.2	+2.2	0:1	3.41	1.19
3	Everton	2	4.7	0.9	+3.8	5:0	2.33	0.43
4	Aston Villa	1	2.5	0.7	+1.8	3:1	2.55	0.74
5	Fulham	2	5.3	1.9	+3.5	6:2	2.67	0.93
6	Sheffield United	3	6.1	1.6	+4.5	5:2	2.02	0.54
7	Newcastle United	2	4.7	2.0	+2.6	4:2	2.34	1.02
8	Tottenham Hotspur	2	3.9	1.4	+2.5	6:4	1.95	0.70
9	Salford City	1	5.9	4.7	+1.2	1:1	5.91	4.71
10	Manchester City	1	1.3	0.1	+1.2	5:0	1.33	0.15
11	Reading	3	11.0	7.7	+3.3	5:3	3.66	2.55
12	Brighton	1	1.9	0.9	+1.0	3:2	1.95	0.92
13	Hull City	2	7.7	5.7	+2.0	1:2	3.83	2.84
14	Burnley	2	9.9	8.1	+1.8	1:1	4.96	4.05
15	Chesterfield	1	1.2	0.3	+0.9	0:1	1.24	0.34
16	Leeds United	2	4.6	3.0	+1.6	5:6	2.31	1.52
17	Brentford	2	4.1	2.5	+1.5	8:2	2.03	1.27
18	Norwich City	3	4.7	2.4	+2.3	6:7	1.55	0.80
19	Bradford City	3	9.0	6.9	+2.1	5:1	2.99	2.30
20	Plymouth Argyle	2	4.4	3.1	+1.4	4:4	2.21	1.53
21	Cardiff City	2	3.3	2.0	+1.4	4:4	1.65	0.98
22	Peterborough United	3	13.9	12.0	+1.9	9:4	4.64	3.99
23	Chelsea	2	4.1	2.9	+1.3	8:3	2.07	1.43
24	Watford	2	4.9	3.7	+1.2	2:5	2.44	1.86
25	West Ham United	3	5.3	3.6	+1.7	9:5	1.77	1.20
26	Barnsley	3	18.2	16.6	+1.6	7:6	6.06	5.54
27	Leicester City	2	2.3	1.4	+1.0	2:3	1.16	0.69
28	Bolton Wanderers	1	2.0	1.5	+0.5	0:1	1.99	1.53
29	Middlesbrough	3	4.6	3.2	+1.4	4:4	1.52	1.07
30	Luton Town	2	3.1	2.3	+0.8	3:2	1.54	1.14
31	Sunderland	1	1.1	0.7	+0.4	1:0	1.09	0.71
32	Doncaster Rovers	2	7.8	7.1	+0.7	2:4	3.89	3.53
33	Barnet	1	1.8	1.4	+0.3	1:2	1.79	1.45
34	Swansea City	1	1.4	1.0	+0.3	0:1	1.36	1.02
35	Leyton Orient	3	9.3	8.3	+0.9	3:3	3.09	2.78
36	Crewe Alexandra	2	3.4	3.2	+0.3	4:4	1.71	1.58
37	Tranmere Rovers	1	3.3	3.2	+0.1	2:2	3.33	3.24
38	West Bromwich Albion	2	3.8	3.7	+0.1	6:4	1.90	1.84
39	Wycombe Wanderers	1	1.3	1.2	+0.0	1:2	1.29	1.25
40	Grimsby Town	1	0.8	0.8	+0.0	1:3	0.77	0.77
41	Millwall	3	4.1	4.1	-0.0	2:2	1.36	1.38
42	Arsenal	1	1.0	1.1	-0.1	4:2	1.03	1.12
43	Port Vale	1	1.4	1.5	-0.1	0:3	1.35	1.48
44	Blackpool	2	1.3	1.7	-0.4	4:5	0.66	0.84
45	Southampton	2	3.1	3.6	-0.4	3:4	1.57	1.79
46	Ipswich Town	2	2.2	2.6	-0.5	5:5	1.08	1.31
47	Lincoln City	3	3.0	3.8	-0.8	6:6	1.00	1.26
48	Charlton Athletic	2	1.8	2.3	-0.6	4:6	0.89	1.17
49	Crystal Palace	1	0.7	1.0	-0.3	3:0	0.72	1.00
50	Cambridge United	2	2.1	2.6	-0.6	2:2	1.03	1.32
51	Wolverhampton Wanderers	3	2.9	3.9	-0.9	5:1	0.97	1.28
52	Portsmouth	1	0.8	1.1	-0.3	1:3	0.83	1.15
53	Stevenage	2	2.0	2.7	-0.7	2:4	1.02	1.36
54	Sheffield Wednesday	2	2.3	3.1	-0.8	1:2	1.17	1.56
55	Oxford United	1	0.6	1.0	-0.4	0:2	0.56	0.97
56	Northampton Town	1	0.3	0.7	-0.4	0:1	0.32	0.73
57	Wigan Athletic	1	6.3	6.8	-0.5	1:1	6.34	6.80
58	Cheltenham Town	1	0.7	1.2	-0.5	1:3	0.70	1.19
59	Coventry City	2	3.1	4.1	-1.0	5:5	1.53	2.03
60	Fleetwood Town	3	1.5	3.0	-1.5	6:0	0.49	1.00
61	Shrewsbury Town	2	5.4	6.6	-1.1	1:5	2.71	3.28
62	Blackburn Rovers	2	3.2	4.3	-1.1	3:3	1.60	2.17
63	Wrexham	1	0.7	1.3	-0.6	0:1	0.71	1.29
64	Preston North End	2	5.4	6.7	-1.3	1:5	2.72	3.37
65	Crawley Town	2	3.2	4.5	-1.3	2:1	1.59	2.24
66	Burton Albion	1	1.9	2.6	-0.7	1:2	1.95	2.62
67	Stoke City	2	6.3	7.8	-1.5	3:1	3.16	3.91
68	Rochdale	2	4.0	5.5	-1.5	2:4	1.99	2.76
69	Oldham Athletic	1	0.9	1.7	-0.9	0:2	0.86	1.72
70	Wimbledon	2	6.6	8.3	-1.7	1:4	3.30	4.17
71	Accrington Stanley	1	1.1	2.0	-0.9	1:2	1.08	1.99
72	Bristol Rovers	1	1.3	2.3	-0.9	0:1	1.34	2.29
73	Birmingham City	2	1.5	3.5	-2.1	2:6	0.74	1.77
74	Manchester United	1	0.9	1.9	-1.0	2:3	0.92	1.95
75	Huddersfield Town	1	3.8	4.9	-1.1	1:1	3.78	4.89
76	Stockport County	1	4.8	6.0	-1.2	1:1	4.79	5.99
77	Queens Park Rangers	1	1.5	2.7	-1.2	1:1	1.46	2.67
78	Rotherham United	1	1.1	2.3	-1.2	1:4	1.06	2.31
79	Colchester United	1	1.1	2.3	-1.3	0:2	1.07	2.33
80	Derby County	1	0.5	1.8	-1.3	1:2	0.49	1.78
81	York City	1	0.9	2.2	-1.3	0:2	0.93	2.24
82	Newport County	1	4.9	6.4	-1.4	1:1	4.94	6.39
83	Liverpool	1	0.8	2.3	-1.5	3:1	0.82	2.27
84	Notts County	1	3.2	4.9	-1.6	1:1	3.23	4.88
85	Swindon Town	1	1.1	2.7	-1.7	2:3	1.07	2.72
86	Nottingham Forest	1	0.8	2.5	-1.7	0:2	0.76	2.45
87	Walsall	2	7.1	10.6	-3.5	1:0	3.54	5.29
88	Gillingham	1	0.4	2.4	-2.0	0:3	0.40	2.40
89	Mansfield Town	1	0.6	2.6	-2.1	0:3	0.56	2.65
90	Exeter City	1	0.7	2.9	-2.2	0:2	0.74	2.92
91	Bromley	1	5.0	7.5	-2.5	1:1	4.98	7.47
92	Milton Keynes Dons	1	0.5	3.6	-3.1	1:4	0.49	3.63

xG: expected goals for · xGA: expected goals against · sorted by xG difference per game.

Top players by xG

Player	Team	Shots	xG	npxG	xA	Chances created
Harry Leonard	Peterborough United	18	4.92	2.99	0.10	2
Reyes Cleary	Barnsley	14	3.38	1.45	1.02	4
Cameron McGeehan	Barnsley	11	2.79	1.82	0.08	2
Zian Flemming	Ipswich Town	8	2.46	0.53	0.55	2
Patrick Kelly	Barnsley	10	2.29	0.36	0.66	11
Zeki Amdouni	Burnley	6	2.27	0.33	0.08	2
Luca Connell	Barnsley	9	2.24	0.31	0.32	4
Thierno Barry	Everton	10	2.07	2.07	0.47	5
Lewis Wing	Reading	3	1.96	0.03	0.49	3
Sam Gale	Barnsley	2	1.93	0.00	0.05	1
Aaron Pressley	Walsall	5	1.81	0.85	0.12	1
Randell Williams	Reading	6	1.73	0.77	0.26	4
Danny Ormerod	Peterborough United	7	1.73	0.77	0.00	0
Alfie May	Doncaster Rovers	4	1.71	0.75	0.03	1
Yousef Salech	Cardiff City	7	1.68	0.71	0.51	1
Cole Palmer	Chelsea	12	1.67	0.70	0.52	7
Thomas Cannon	Sheffield United	8	1.58	1.58	0.57	5
Rodrigo Muniz	Fulham	8	1.52	1.52	0.21	2
Charlie Whitaker	Tranmere Rovers	5	1.51	0.55	0.03	1
Theo Archibald	Leyton Orient	8	1.49	0.53	0.46	6

npxG: non-penalty xG · xA: expected assists (xG of the shots created by their passes).

All players with xG and xA Carabao Cup: standings