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Moldova – Slovakia: prediction and preview
Nations League · matchday 4 · Tuesday 6 October 2026 · 20:45 (Madrid time)
Balonario prediction (statistical model): the most likely outcome is a Slovakia win. Most likely score according to the model: 1-1; expected goals 1.1 - 1.3.
1 · 32 %X · 28 %2 · 40 %
Statistical estimate, not a certainty. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly.
Preview
Slovakia top Group C3 on 7 points, although they dropped two in the Faroe Islands (1-1), and visit Chișinău to face a Moldova side second on 4 after winning in Kazakhstan (1-2). Slovakia won the reverse fixture 2-0.
Weiss has his spine of Škriniar, Hancko, Lobotka and Duda, with Bozeník and Leo Sauer up front in the 4-3-3; Slovakia hold 69% of the ball and shoot 16 times per game. Popescu will sit in his 5-3-2, with Perciun (1 goal and 1 assist) and Clescenco as counter-attacking threats. We have found no confirmed absences.
The site's statistical forecast gives 32% home, 28% draw and 40% away, with 1-1 the most likely score; Slovakia need to turn their dominance into clear chances to avoid a repeat of the Tórshavn slip.
Form and stats
| Moldova | Slovakia | |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (W-D-L) | L D W | W W D |
| Matches this season | 3 | 3 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.0 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| Shots per game | 15.3 | 16.3 |
| Corners per game | 4.7 | 8.3 |
| Yellow cards per game | 0.3 | 1.3 |
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