Balonario › Nations League › Moldova – Slovakia

Moldova – Slovakia: prediction and preview

Nations League · matchday 4 · Tuesday 6 October 2026 · 20:45 (Madrid time)

Balonario prediction (statistical model): the most likely outcome is a Slovakia win. Most likely score according to the model: 1-1; expected goals 1.1 - 1.3.

1 · 32 %X · 28 %2 · 40 %

Statistical estimate, not a certainty. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly.

Preview

Slovakia top Group C3 on 7 points, although they dropped two in the Faroe Islands (1-1), and visit Chișinău to face a Moldova side second on 4 after winning in Kazakhstan (1-2). Slovakia won the reverse fixture 2-0. Weiss has his spine of Škriniar, Hancko, Lobotka and Duda, with Bozeník and Leo Sauer up front in the 4-3-3; Slovakia hold 69% of the ball and shoot 16 times per game. Popescu will sit in his 5-3-2, with Perciun (1 goal and 1 assist) and Clescenco as counter-attacking threats. We have found no confirmed absences. The site's statistical forecast gives 32% home, 28% draw and 40% away, with 1-1 the most likely score; Slovakia need to turn their dominance into clear chances to avoid a repeat of the Tórshavn slip.

Form and stats

MoldovaSlovakia
Last 5 (W-D-L)L D WW W D
Matches this season33
Goals scored per game1.01.7
Goals conceded per game1.30.7
Shots per game15.316.3
Corners per game4.78.3
Yellow cards per game0.31.3

Line-ups, referee and prediction settingsPlay the prediction gamePredictions 18+