Luxembourg – Bulgaria: prediction and preview

Luxembourg, third in Group C4 on 3 points, won in Sofia on matchday one (1-2) but have since lost to Iceland (0-3) and in Estonia (1-0). Bulgaria, bottom with one point, have scored only once in three games. Strasser is expected to repeat the 4-1-4-1 with Moris in goal, Barreiro (the player with most club minutes, at Benfica) and Thill arriving from midfield and Dardari up front; Mahmutović is on two yellow cards. Dimitrov should keep the 4-4-2 with Turitsov, Gruev and Chandarov, and Lukas Petkov and Velkovski are also on two yellows. We have found no confirmed absences. Both sides struggle for goals (0.67 and 0.33 per game). The site's statistical forecast gives 45% home, 28% draw and 27% away, with 1-0 the most likely score.