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India – Uruguay: prediction and preview
International friendlies · matchday 1 · Tuesday 6 October 2026 · 16:00 (Madrid time)
Balonario prediction (statistical model): the most likely outcome is a Uruguay win. Most likely score according to the model: 1-1; expected goals 1.5 - 1.8.
1 · 32 %X · 23 %2 · 45 %
Statistical estimate, not a certainty. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly.
Preview
Uruguay close their Asian tour in Kolkata after losing 1-3 in Japan and winning 1-4 in South Korea. India come off a 1-1 draw with Panama and a 0-4 defeat to Brazil, with just 17% possession in their games.
Diego Forlán has four absentees: De Arrascaeta (broken wrist, needs surgery), Sebastián Cáceres (groin), Mathías Olivera (minor muscle injury) and Brian Rodríguez, who could not travel because of a passport issue. The coach is expected to give minutes to fringe players such as Thiago Cardozo, Facundo Bernal, Rodrigo Zalazar or Martín Satriano, with Darwin Núñez (2 goals) as the reference. India should keep their 4-2-3-1 with Sandhu in goal and Ryan Williams up front.
The site's statistical forecast gives 32% home, 23% draw and 45% away, with 1-1 the most likely score; Uruguay's rotation and travel narrow the gap between the sides.
Form and stats
| India | Uruguay | |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (W-D-L) | D L | L W |
| Matches this season | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored per game | 0.5 | 2.5 |
| Goals conceded per game | 2.5 | 2.0 |
| Shots per game | 4.5 | 4.5 |
| Corners per game | 3.0 | 0.5 |
| Yellow cards per game | 0.0 | 1.5 |
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