Estonia – Iceland: prediction and preview

Iceland top Group C4 on 7 points after a 3-0 win in Luxembourg and a 3-0 against Bulgaria, and visit Estonia in Tallinn; the hosts are second on 5, still unbeaten and have conceded just once. The sides drew 1-1 in Reykjavik on matchday one. Gunnlaugsson's most dangerous pairing is Orri Óskarsson (3 goals and 2 assists) and Andri Gudjohnsen (2 goals), with Hákon Haraldsson as creator; Ellertsson is on two yellow cards. Henn is expected to keep his back three of Mets, Paskotši and Schjønning-Larsen, a deep block (43% possession) and Peetson's late runs. We have found no confirmed absences. Estonia rely on defensive solidity and Iceland on their finishing. The site's statistical forecast gives 30% home, 31% draw and 40% away, with 0-1 the most likely score; an Icelandic win would all but settle the group.