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England – Czechia: prediction and preview
Nations League · matchday 4 · Tuesday 6 October 2026 · 20:45 (Madrid time)
Balonario prediction (statistical model): the most likely outcome is a England win. Most likely score according to the model: 2-0; expected goals 3.0 - 0.9.
1 · 79 %X · 13 %2 · 8 %
Statistical estimate, not a certainty. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly.
Preview
England, second in Group A3 on 6 points, host a Czechia side that has lost all three games. After a 2-3 defeat to Spain, Tuchel's team responded with a 0-2 win in Prague and a historic 7-0 in Croatia, and they need to win to keep pace with the Spaniards.
Tuchel has lost Nico O'Reilly (Rico Lewis replaces him) and has a doubt over Ezri Konsa, who missed training; Quansah, Chalobah or Branthwaite would be the alternatives. Kane (4 goals and 1 assist in the competition, 6 goals for Bayern), Bellingham (4 assists), Gordon and Saka make up an attack in fine form. Czechia will be without captain Ladislav Krejčí, sent off in Spain, and the injured Provod and Chorý; Pavel Šulc is back from suspension.
England average 18 shots and 3.7 goals per game; Czechia manage only 5.3 shots and 36% of the ball. The site's statistical forecast gives 79% home, 13% draw and 8% away, with 2-0 the most likely score.
Form and stats
| England | Czechia | |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (W-D-L) | L W W | L L L |
| Matches this season | 3 | 3 |
| Goals scored per game | 3.7 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.0 | 2.3 |
| Shots per game | 18.0 | 5.3 |
| Corners per game | 6.0 | 0.7 |
| Yellow cards per game | 1.3 | 2.0 |
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