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China – Tajikistan: prediction and preview
International friendlies · matchday 1 · Tuesday 6 October 2026 · 13:35 (Madrid time)
Balonario prediction (statistical model): the most likely outcome is a China win. Most likely score according to the model: 1-1; expected goals 1.7 - 1.5.
1 · 43 %X · 23 %2 · 34 %
Statistical estimate, not a certainty. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly.
Preview
China arrive in poor shape after losing 0-3 to New Zealand and 0-5 to Palestine, having thrashed the Maldives; Wang Ziming has 3 goals in the window. Tajikistan are not faring much better: 0-1 in Azerbaijan and 2-4 against Palestine. Both sides concede more than 2.5 goals per game, which points to an open contest. The site's statistical forecast gives 43% home, 23% draw and 34% away, with 1-1 the most likely score.
Form and stats
| China | Tajikistan | |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (W-D-L) | W L L | L L |
| Matches this season | 3 | 2 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per game | 2.7 | 2.5 |
| Shots per game | 15.0 | 0.0 |
| Corners per game | 6.3 | 0.0 |
| Yellow cards per game | 0.7 | 0.0 |
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