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Vélez Sarsfield – Platense: prediction and preview
Argentine Primera División · matchday 12 · Monday 5 October 2026 · 00:00 (Madrid time)
Balonario prediction (statistical model): the most likely outcome is a Vélez Sarsfield win. Most likely score according to the model: 1-0; expected goals 1.7 - 0.8.
1 · 59 %X · 23 %2 · 17 %
Statistical estimate, not a certainty. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly.
Preview
Vélez (3rd, 20 points) host Platense (25th, 9), who are stretched by the Libertadores and have many absences: Ingenthron (sent off) plus the injured Bobadilla, Giménez, Nasif, Quirós, Saborido and Ignacio Vázquez. Vélez only lose Mammana and rely on Ronaldo Martínez (4 goals in 244 minutes) and Lanzini in attack. The model gives 59% home, 23% draw, 17% away, with 1-0 the most likely score.
Form and stats
| Vélez Sarsfield | Platense | |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (W-D-L) | D D W D W | D L L W L |
| Matches this season | 10 | 20 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.9 | 1.3 |
| Shots per game | 11.4 | 12.2 |
| Corners per game | 4.0 | 4.5 |
| Yellow cards per game | 1.9 | 2.1 |
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