Ukraine – Hungary: prediction and preview

Ukraine and Hungary are level on 4 points in Group B2, three behind Northern Ireland, and this head-to-head decides who stays in the race for first place. Ukraine come off a 3-0 home defeat to Northern Ireland; Hungary beat Georgia 1-0 but have scored only once in three games. Maldera loses Danylo Sikan, scorer of the winner in the reverse fixture (1-0 in Budapest), and centre-back Mykola Matviyenko, both suspended for accumulated bookings. Sudakov and Tsygankov will have to carry the creative load. Hungary are without Milos Kerkez, who picked up his second booking of the competition; Szoboszlai (3 goals for Liverpool) is Rossi's main weapon in a side that shoots a lot (18.7 per game) but with little accuracy. The site's model reflects the balance: 32% home, 36% draw, 32% away, with 0-0 the most likely score (expected goals 0.79-0.78). With two low-scoring attacks, a set piece could decide it.