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Uganda – DR Congo: prediction and preview
International friendlies · matchday 1 · Monday 5 October 2026 · 15:00 (Madrid time)
Balonario prediction (statistical model): the most likely outcome is a Uganda win. Most likely score according to the model: 1-0; expected goals 1.9 - 1.0.
1 · 58 %X · 23 %2 · 20 %
Statistical estimate, not a certainty. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly.
Preview
Uganda and DR Congo meet again three days after their first friendly, which Uganda won 2-0 on Congolese soil. This time they play in Uganda.
Balonario has no detailed stats or line-ups from those games, and no absences have been reported by reliable sources. DR Congo, with more players in European leagues, will seek revenge and are likely to rotate less than in a typical friendly.
The site's model gives a 58% Uganda win, 23% draw and 20% DR Congo, with 1-0 the most likely score (expected goals 1.88-1.01). The first result weighs on the estimate, but Congo's individual quality suggests a more even game.
Form and stats
| Uganda | DR Congo | |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (W-D-L) | W | L |
| Matches this season | 1 | 1 |
| Goals scored per game | 2.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.0 | 2.0 |
| Shots per game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Corners per game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Yellow cards per game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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