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Martinique – El Salvador: prediction and preview

Concacaf Nations League · matchday 4 · Monday 5 October 2026 · 00:00 (Madrid time)

Balonario prediction (statistical model): the most likely outcome is a Martinique win. Most likely score according to the model: 2-1; expected goals 2.2 - 1.4.

1 · 56 %X · 20 %2 · 23 %

Statistical estimate, not a certainty. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly.

Preview

Martinique and El Salvador are level on 3 points but in contrasting form: Martinique beat Honduras 2-1 last time out, while El Salvador lost 2-0 to Jamaica. El Salvador won the first meeting of this window 3-1. Martinique have more attacking punch with Ludovic Blas and Janis Antiste (1 goal, 1 assist), and Jonathan Varane at the back. El Salvador, who have conceded nine goals in three games, rely on Brayan Gil (2 goals) and Harold Osorio; Rudy Clavel Mendoza was sent off last match and is a doubt pending a possible suspension. Balonario's model gives a 56% home win, 20% draw and 23% away win, with 2-1 the most likely score (expected goals 2.21-1.37). El Salvador's defensive fragility and Martinique's upturn tilt the preview towards the hosts.

Form and stats

MartiniqueEl Salvador
Last 5 (W-D-L)L L WW L L
Matches this season33
Goals scored per game1.31.0
Goals conceded per game2.03.0
Shots per game13.38.7
Corners per game6.31.7
Yellow cards per game2.01.0

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