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Martinique – El Salvador: prediction and preview
Concacaf Nations League · matchday 4 · Monday 5 October 2026 · 00:00 (Madrid time)
Balonario prediction (statistical model): the most likely outcome is a Martinique win. Most likely score according to the model: 2-1; expected goals 2.2 - 1.4.
1 · 56 %X · 20 %2 · 23 %
Statistical estimate, not a certainty. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly.
Preview
Martinique and El Salvador are level on 3 points but in contrasting form: Martinique beat Honduras 2-1 last time out, while El Salvador lost 2-0 to Jamaica. El Salvador won the first meeting of this window 3-1.
Martinique have more attacking punch with Ludovic Blas and Janis Antiste (1 goal, 1 assist), and Jonathan Varane at the back. El Salvador, who have conceded nine goals in three games, rely on Brayan Gil (2 goals) and Harold Osorio; Rudy Clavel Mendoza was sent off last match and is a doubt pending a possible suspension.
Balonario's model gives a 56% home win, 20% draw and 23% away win, with 2-1 the most likely score (expected goals 2.21-1.37). El Salvador's defensive fragility and Martinique's upturn tilt the preview towards the hosts.
Form and stats
| Martinique | El Salvador | |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (W-D-L) | L L W | W L L |
| Matches this season | 3 | 3 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per game | 2.0 | 3.0 |
| Shots per game | 13.3 | 8.7 |
| Corners per game | 6.3 | 1.7 |
| Yellow cards per game | 2.0 | 1.0 |
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