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Liechtenstein – Gibraltar: prediction and preview

International friendlies · matchday 1 · Monday 5 October 2026 · 20:45 (Madrid time)

Balonario prediction (statistical model): the most likely outcome is a Gibraltar win. Most likely score according to the model: 0-1; expected goals 0.9 - 1.0.

1 · 31 %X · 32 %2 · 38 %

Statistical estimate, not a certainty. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly.

Preview

Liechtenstein and Gibraltar close the window with a friendly between two of Europe's smallest national teams. Liechtenstein have not scored in three games this window (0-0 in Azerbaijan their best result); Gibraltar have drawn three in a row and conceded just once. Both defend in numbers: Liechtenstein, with a back five, have created very little; Gibraltar rely on James Scanlon, their only scorer. No absences have been reported. Balonario's model gives a 31% home win, 31% draw and 38% away win, with 0-1 the most likely score (expected goals 0.94-1.07). Everything points to a tight, very low-scoring game.

Form and stats

LiechtensteinGibraltar
Last 5 (W-D-L)L L DD D D
Matches this season33
Goals scored per game0.00.3
Goals conceded per game1.30.3
Shots per game2.74.7
Corners per game0.01.7
Yellow cards per game1.31.0

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