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Cuba – St. Kitts and Nevis: prediction and preview

Concacaf Nations League · matchday 4 · Monday 5 October 2026 · 23:00 (Madrid time)

Balonario prediction (statistical model): the most likely outcome is a Cuba win. Most likely score according to the model: 2-1; expected goals 2.1 - 1.5.

1 · 50 %X · 21 %2 · 29 %

Statistical estimate, not a certainty. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly.

Preview

Cuba and St Kitts and Nevis meet again three days after a thrilling 3-3 in Basseterre. Both have 7 points and are unbeaten, so the rematch in Havana decides who stays at the top of the table. Cuba are the competition's highest-volume shooters (22.7 per game) and share the goals between Yunior Pérez and Diego Catasús (2 each), with Michael Camejo providing 3 assists. St Kitts rely on Tiquanny Williams, scorer of 6 of their 8 goals, and Romaine Sawyers' experience in midfield. No absentees have been reported. The site's model gives a 50% Cuba win, 21% draw and 29% away win, with 2-1 the most likely score (expected goals 2.09-1.55). The recent meeting and both teams' attacking profiles suggest another game with goals.

Form and stats

CubaSt. Kitts and Nevis
Last 5 (W-D-L)W W DW W D
Matches this season33
Goals scored per game2.72.7
Goals conceded per game1.01.3
Shots per game22.713.0
Corners per game6.74.0
Yellow cards per game1.31.7

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