Costa Rica – Haiti: prediction and preview

Haiti are one of the stories of the Concacaf Nations League: 9 points from 9, nine goals scored and a 2-0 win over Costa Rica eight days ago. The Ticos, on 3 points after a 3-0 win in Nicaragua, must respond at the Saprissa to avoid falling behind. Costa Rica's attack runs through Carlos Mora (3 goals) and Orlando Sinclair (2), with Keylor Navas in goal. Central American media list Roan Wilson and Orlando Galo as likely injury absentees and Josimar Méndez as suspended, though without official confirmation. Haiti rely on Wilson Isidor (3 goals, 2 assists) and a direct 4-4-2 with Picault and Providence out wide. Balonario's model gives a 34% home win, 21% draw and 45% away win, with 1-2 the most likely score (expected goals 1.72-2.01). Costa Rica will need to control the game without exposing themselves to Haiti's transitions.