Bosnia and Herzegovina – Poland: prediction and preview

A direct fight for second place in Group B4: Bosnia have 5 points and are unbeaten, Poland have 4 after thrashing Romania 6-0, and both chase Sweden (7). The reverse fixture ended 0-0, so the winner in Zenica moves into the promotion race. Poland lose Robert Lewandowski, who scored a hat-trick against Romania, to his second booking of the competition; Jakub Kamiński (muscle injury) and goalkeeper Kamil Grabara (cruciate ligament) are also out. Urban has Świderski and Szymański (1 goal, 1 assist) as attacking options. Bosnia play their first game since Edin Džeko's international retirement after the Sweden match; Demirović (4 goals for Stuttgart) and Alajbegović should lead the attack. The site's model gives Bosnia a 40% chance, 25% draw and 35% Poland, with 1-1 the most likely score (expected goals 1.45-1.34). Without Lewandowski, Poland lose their main finisher and home advantage could tip a very open game.