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Turks and Caicos Islands – British Virgin Islands: prediction and preview

Concacaf Nations League · matchday 5 · Sunday 4 October 2026 · 22:00 (Madrid time)

Balonario prediction (statistical model): the most likely outcome is a Turks and Caicos Islands win. Most likely score according to the model: 2-0; expected goals 2.2 - 0.9.

1 · 67 %X · 19 %2 · 14 %

Statistical estimate, not a certainty. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly.

Preview

Turks and Caicos (3 points) host the British Virgin Islands, bottom with no goals in three games, whom they beat 3-0 away in the first meeting. Billy Forbes (2 goals) and Junior Paul lead the home attack, with Dominic Hutchinson providing 2 assists. The BVI have conceded eight goals and average five shots per game. No absentees have been reported. Balonario's model gives a 67% home win, 19% draw and 14% away win, with 2-0 the most likely score (expected goals 2.18-0.89). Turks and Caicos should claim a second win if they repeat their first-leg level.

Form and stats

Turks and Caicos IslandsBritish Virgin Islands
Last 5 (W-D-L)L WL L L
Matches this season23
Goals scored per game1.50.0
Goals conceded per game1.02.7
Shots per game8.55.3
Corners per game4.52.0
Yellow cards per game1.02.7

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