Trinidad and Tobago – Curaçao: prediction and preview

Curaçao are leading the Concacaf Nations League: 9 points from 9 and eleven goals, the best record in the competition. Trinidad and Tobago, pointless after three defeats (most recently 1-0 in Willemstad three days ago), host the leaders with almost no margin for error. Curaçao will repeat their 4-2-3-1 with Juninho Bacuna (2 goals, 2 assists, scorer in the first meeting) and Kenji Gorré (4 goals) as the main threats, plus Tahith Chong and Locadia. For Trinidad, Dantaye Gilbert was sent off last time out and his availability depends on a suspension not yet confirmed; Levi García and Wayne Frederick are their best attacking assets. The site's model gives a 26% home win, 20% draw and 54% away win, with 1-2 the most likely score (expected goals 1.51-2.22). Trinidad competed well in the first game, but Curaçao's attacking volume (9 shots on target per game) makes them favourites.