Portugal – Norway: prediction and preview

Portugal, top of Group A4 with a perfect record (1-0 v Wales, 1-2 in Norway and 2-4 in Copenhagen), host Norway in Porto; the Norwegians beat Denmark but have since lost to Portugal and in Cardiff (2-1). A Portuguese win would all but seal first place. Ødegaard has recovered from his ankle problem and starts behind Haaland, with Nusa and Schjelderup wide and Berg and Berge in a double pivot; without the suspended Heggem and Ryerson, the back four is Aursnes, Ajer, Østigård and Møller Wolfe. Jorge Jesus picks Palhinha as the anchor, Vitinha, Bruno Fernandes and Francisco Conceição ahead of him, and João Félix alongside Gonçalo Ramos; Cancelo and Nuno Mendes at full-back. Maurizio Mariani referees, averaging 5 yellow cards per game. The site's statistical forecast gives 62% home, 20% draw and 18% away, with 2-1 the most likely score; a makeshift Norwegian defence against Portugal's movement backs that scenario, though Haaland is always a threat.