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Morocco – Mali: prediction and preview
International friendlies · matchday 1 · Sunday 4 October 2026 · 20:00 (Madrid time)
Balonario prediction (statistical model): the most likely outcome is a Morocco win. Most likely score according to the model: 1-1; expected goals 1.7 - 1.3.
1 · 46 %X · 24 %2 · 31 %
Statistical estimate, not a certainty. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly.
Preview
Morocco, a benchmark of African football, host Mali in an October friendly. According to ESPN's schedule, Mali play this game a day after facing Tunisia, which would make rotation almost unavoidable for the visitors.
Balonario has no matches for either side this season and no absences have been reported by reliable sources.
The site's model gives a 46% Morocco win, 24% draw and 31% Mali, with 1-1 the most likely score; without in-house data, the estimate only reflects home advantage, not the gap in quality, which favours Morocco.
Form and stats
| Morocco | Mali | |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (W-D-L) | — | — |
| Matches this season | 0 | 0 |
| Goals scored per game | — | — |
| Goals conceded per game | — | — |
| Shots per game | — | — |
| Corners per game | — | — |
| Yellow cards per game | — | — |
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