Balonario › Nations League › Malta – Andorra

Malta – Andorra: prediction and preview

Nations League · matchday 4 · Sunday 4 October 2026 · 18:00 (Madrid time) · referee: Mikkel Hedberg Redder

Balonario prediction (statistical model + market): the most likely outcome is a Malta win. Most likely score according to the model: 1-0; expected goals 1.7 - 0.7.

1 · 59 %X · 27 %2 · 14 %

Statistical estimate, not a certainty. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly.

Preview

Malta lead Group D1 on 4 points (2-1 in Andorra and 1-1 v Gibraltar) and host Andorra, third on one point, in the return of the matchday-one fixture. De Leo keeps a 4-2-3-1 with Teuma (a goal and an assist) and Irvin Cardona (a goal and an assist) as the creative pieces and Chouaref wide; his side have the ball (60%) and 6.5 shots on target per game. Koldo Álvarez relies on Iker Álvarez in goal and Llovera and San Nicolás at the back; Guillaume López, Andorra's only scorer, is the threat. Éric De las Heras is on two yellow cards, but we found no confirmation of a ban, nor any absences in reliable outlets for either side. Danish referee Mikkel Redder is in charge. Malta are better on the numbers, though the draw with Gibraltar is a reminder that they struggle to close games out. The site's statistical forecast gives 48% home, 28% draw and 24% away, with 1-0 the most likely score.

Form and stats

MaltaAndorra
Last 5 (W-D-L)W W DL D L
Matches this season33
Goals scored per game1.70.3
Goals conceded per game0.71.7
Shots per game10.07.7
Corners per game3.32.3
Yellow cards per game1.72.7

Line-ups, referee and prediction settingsPlay the prediction gamePredictions 18+