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Kyrgyzstan – Lebanon: prediction and preview
International friendlies · matchday 1 · Sunday 4 October 2026 · 16:00 (Madrid time)
Balonario prediction (statistical model): the most likely outcome is a Kyrgyzstan win. Most likely score according to the model: 1-1; expected goals 1.9 - 1.6.
1 · 45 %X · 22 %2 · 33 %
Statistical estimate, not a certainty. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly.
Preview
Kyrgyzstan and Lebanon both arrive off big wins over the same opponent: Kyrgyzstan beat the Maldives 5-0 and Lebanon won 6-0 in Malé. It is a useful friendly to measure two Asian sides of similar level.
Balonario has no detailed stats or line-ups from those games, and no absences have been reported by reliable sources.
The site's model gives a 45% Kyrgyzstan win, 22% draw and 33% Lebanon, with 1-1 the most likely score (expected goals 1.96-1.67). Those routs inflate both sides' averages, so a tighter game is the reasonable expectation.
Form and stats
| Kyrgyzstan | Lebanon | |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (W-D-L) | W | W |
| Matches this season | 1 | 1 |
| Goals scored per game | 5.0 | 6.0 |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Shots per game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Corners per game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Yellow cards per game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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