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Kosovo – Austria: prediction and preview
Nations League · matchday 4 · Sunday 4 October 2026 · 18:00 (Madrid time) · referee: António Emanuel de Carvalho Nobre
Balonario prediction (statistical model + market): the most likely outcome is a Austria win. Most likely score according to the model: 1-1; expected goals 1.2 - 1.4.
1 · 30 %X · 27 %2 · 44 %
Statistical estimate, not a certainty. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly.
Preview
Austria lead Group B3 on 7 points (3-1 v Israel, 3-1 v Kosovo and 2-2 in Dublin) and travel to Pristina, where Kosovo, third on 4, beat Ireland 1-0 on matchday one. An Austrian win would leave the group well on track.
Rangnick loses Paul Wanner (left sole of the foot) and Nikolas Veratschnig (right knee), but gets Kevin Danso back after his ban in Dublin. The 4-2-3-1 with Schlager and Seiwald as the double pivot and Wimmer (two assists), Schmid and Kalajdžić in attack creates a lot: 7.3 shots on target per game. Foda should keep the 3-4-2-1 with Muriqi and Zhegrova as threats; we found no confirmed Kosovo absences. Portuguese referee António Nobre is in charge.
Kosovo have more possession than expected (53%) but score only 0.67 per game. The site's statistical forecast gives 42% away, 26% draw and 32% home, with 1-1 the most likely score. The Pristina atmosphere could even things up.
Form and stats
| Kosovo | Austria | |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (W-D-L) | W L D | W W D |
| Matches this season | 3 | 3 |
| Goals scored per game | 0.7 | 2.7 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Shots per game | 15.3 | 15.3 |
| Corners per game | 2.3 | 4.7 |
| Yellow cards per game | 0.7 | 2.0 |
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