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Guyana – Dominica: prediction and preview

Concacaf Nations League · matchday 4 · Sunday 4 October 2026 · 21:00 (Madrid time)

Balonario prediction (statistical model): the most likely outcome is a Guyana win. Most likely score according to the model: 2-0; expected goals 2.3 - 0.8.

1 · 71 %X · 17 %2 · 11 %

Statistical estimate, not a certainty. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly.

Preview

Guyana are second in the overall table with 9 points from 9 and just one goal conceded, and host a Dominica side they beat 5-1 three days ago. Dominica have one point and one goal in three games. Osaze De Rosario (3 goals, 2 assists) and Omari Glasgow (1 goal, 2 assists) lead an attack averaging 2.7 goals per game. Dominica defend with a back five and see little of the ball (29% average possession). No absentees have been reported. Balonario's model gives a 71% home win, 17% draw and 11% away win, with 2-0 the most likely score (expected goals 2.31-0.79). Everything points to Guyanese control.

Form and stats

GuyanaDominica
Last 5 (W-D-L)W W WW D L L
Matches this season34
Goals scored per game2.70.5
Goals conceded per game0.31.8
Shots per game15.710.2
Corners per game5.35.0
Yellow cards per game1.72.5

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