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Egypt – South Africa: prediction and preview
International friendlies · matchday 1 · Sunday 4 October 2026 · 20:00 (Madrid time)
Balonario prediction (statistical model + market): the most likely outcome is a Egypt win. Most likely score according to the model: 1-1; expected goals 1.7 - 1.3.
1 · 50 %X · 26 %2 · 24 %
Statistical estimate, not a certainty. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly.
Preview
Egypt host South Africa in Cairo in a high-profile friendly between AFCON 2027 qualifiers; the Pharaohs come off a 0-0 draw with Angola and a 5-0 win in South Sudan.
The big absence is Mohamed Salah, who left the camp by agreement with the staff; Mohamed Abdelmonem is also not expected to play. Omar Marmoush, who scored twice in South Sudan, leads the attack. Balonario has no matches for either side this season, so there is no in-house form data.
The site's model gives a 46% Egypt win, 24% draw and 31% South Africa, with 1-1 the most likely score; the estimate rests almost entirely on home advantage. Without Salah, the game looks open.
Form and stats
| Egypt | South Africa | |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (W-D-L) | — | — |
| Matches this season | 0 | 0 |
| Goals scored per game | — | — |
| Goals conceded per game | — | — |
| Shots per game | — | — |
| Corners per game | — | — |
| Yellow cards per game | — | — |
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