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Bolivia – Gambia: prediction and preview

International friendlies · matchday 1 · Sunday 4 October 2026 · 00:30 (Madrid time)

Balonario prediction (statistical model): the most likely outcome is a Gambia win. Most likely score according to the model: 1-1; expected goals 1.3 - 1.7.

1 · 29 %X · 24 %2 · 47 %

Statistical estimate, not a certainty. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly.

Preview

Bolivia end a very tough window: defeats to Paraguay (2-0) and in Argentina (4-0), without scoring a goal. Gambia have no recorded matches in Balonario this season. Bolivia's coach is expected to keep the 3-5-2 with Viscarra in goal and Miguel Terceros as the main attacking outlet. No absences have been reported by reliable sources. The site's model gives a 29% Bolivia win, 24% draw and 47% Gambia, with 1-1 the most likely score; the estimate penalises Bolivia's poor recent numbers, although those came against far stronger opponents than Gambia.

Form and stats

BoliviaGambia
Last 5 (W-D-L)L L—
Matches this season20
Goals scored per game0.0—
Goals conceded per game3.0—
Shots per game1.5—
Corners per game0.5—
Yellow cards per game1.5—

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