Bahamas – US Virgin Islands: prediction and preview

The Bahamas are still pointless and have conceded eleven goals in two games, including an 8-0 defeat to St Martin. The US Virgin Islands have 6 points, though they just lost 5-0 to the same opponent; they beat the Bahamas 3-1 in the reverse fixture. Jannick Liburd (2 goals) and Jimson Saint Louis are the visitors' main threats. The Bahamas rely on Christopher Rahming, scorer of their only goal. No absentees have been reported. The site's model gives a 27% home win, 20% draw and 54% away win, with 1-2 the most likely score (expected goals 1.64-2.34). The USVI start ahead, although their last heavy defeat calls for caution.