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Argentina – Burkina Faso: prediction and preview
International friendlies · matchday 1 · Sunday 4 October 2026 · 02:00 (Madrid time)
Balonario prediction (statistical model + market): the most likely outcome is a Argentina win. Most likely score according to the model: 2-1; expected goals 2.1 - 1.2.
1 · 81 %X · 10 %2 · 8 %
Statistical estimate, not a certainty. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly.
Preview
Argentina close their window at the Monumental after a 4-0 win over Bolivia, but the game is uncertain: Burkina Faso were stranded in Morocco when their charter flight was cancelled, and Argentine media report a last-minute arrival, with the friendly in doubt.
If it goes ahead, Scaloni would use a base similar to his last XI: Emiliano Martínez; Giay, Romero, Lisandro Martínez and Vega; Palacios, Mac Allister and Nico Paz (1 goal, 1 assist v Bolivia); Lautaro, Julián Álvarez and Prestianni. Balonario has no recent Burkina Faso matches, and such a chaotic journey will affect their physical condition.
The site's model gives a 59% Argentina win, 21% draw and 20% away win, with 2-1 the most likely score (expected goals 2.12-1.18). With the visitors only just arriving, clear Argentine control is the most likely scenario.
Form and stats
| Argentina | Burkina Faso | |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (W-D-L) | W | — |
| Matches this season | 1 | 0 |
| Goals scored per game | 4.0 | — |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.0 | — |
| Shots per game | 18.0 | — |
| Corners per game | 12.0 | — |
| Yellow cards per game | 0.0 | — |
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