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Argentina – Burkina Faso: prediction and preview

International friendlies · matchday 1 · Sunday 4 October 2026 · 02:00 (Madrid time)

Balonario prediction (statistical model + market): the most likely outcome is a Argentina win. Most likely score according to the model: 2-1; expected goals 2.1 - 1.2.

1 · 81 %X · 10 %2 · 8 %

Statistical estimate, not a certainty. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly.

Preview

Argentina close their window at the Monumental after a 4-0 win over Bolivia, but the game is uncertain: Burkina Faso were stranded in Morocco when their charter flight was cancelled, and Argentine media report a last-minute arrival, with the friendly in doubt. If it goes ahead, Scaloni would use a base similar to his last XI: Emiliano Martínez; Giay, Romero, Lisandro Martínez and Vega; Palacios, Mac Allister and Nico Paz (1 goal, 1 assist v Bolivia); Lautaro, Julián Álvarez and Prestianni. Balonario has no recent Burkina Faso matches, and such a chaotic journey will affect their physical condition. The site's model gives a 59% Argentina win, 21% draw and 20% away win, with 2-1 the most likely score (expected goals 2.12-1.18). With the visitors only just arriving, clear Argentine control is the most likely scenario.

Form and stats

ArgentinaBurkina Faso
Last 5 (W-D-L)W—
Matches this season10
Goals scored per game4.0—
Goals conceded per game0.0—
Shots per game18.0—
Corners per game12.0—
Yellow cards per game0.0—

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