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Sint Maarten – St. Vincent and the Grenadines: prediction and preview

Concacaf Nations League · matchday 3 · Saturday 3 October 2026 · 23:00 (Madrid time)

Balonario prediction (statistical model): the most likely outcome is a St. Vincent and the Grenadines win. Most likely score according to the model: 1-1; expected goals 1.2 - 1.3.

1 · 33 %X · 27 %2 · 40 %

Statistical estimate, not a certainty. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly.

Preview

Sint Maarten have neither scored nor taken a point in two games, while St Vincent and the Grenadines have won both (6 points) and conceded only once. Oalex Anderson, with 2 goals in just 90 minutes, is the visitors' main threat, alongside Andrew Johnson. Sint Maarten, largely drawn from Dutch football, shoot rarely (7.5 per game) and rely on defensive organisation. No absentees have been reported. Balonario's model gives a 33% home win, 27% draw and 40% away win, with 1-1 the most likely score (expected goals 1.15-1.30). St Vincent start with a slight edge on form and finishing.

Form and stats

Sint MaartenSt. Vincent and the Grenadines
Last 5 (W-D-L)L LW W
Matches this season22
Goals scored per game0.01.5
Goals conceded per game1.00.5
Shots per game7.511.5
Corners per game4.04.0
Yellow cards per game2.02.0

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